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2024年北卡罗来纳州州长选举

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2024年北卡罗来纳州州长选举
← 2020 2024年11月5日 2028 →
 
获提名人 乔希·斯坦 马克·罗宾逊
政党 民主党 共和党
民选得票 3,059,248 2,236,991
得票率 54.87% 40.12％
选前州长

罗伊·库珀
民主党

当选州长

乔希·斯坦

2024年北卡罗来纳州州长选举将于2024年11月5日举行，以选举北卡罗来纳州州长。由于北卡罗来纳州州长有州长任期限制，现任民主党州长罗伊·库珀不能寻求连任。

民主党初选

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候选人

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初选结果

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民主党初选结果[1]
党派 候选人 得票数 百分比
民主党 乔许·史坦 476,448 69.64
民主党 麦可·摩根 97,908 14.31
民主党 克雷尔·布克 45,695 6.68
民主党 马库斯·威廉斯 38,996 5.70
民主党 加里·福克斯 25,100 3.67
合计 684,147 100

共和党初选

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候选人

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初选结果

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共和党初选结果
党派 候选人 得票数 百分比
共和党 马克·罗宾逊 663,917 64.8
共和党 戴尔·福韦尔 196,108 19.2
共和党 比尔·格雷厄姆 163,757 16.0%
合计 1,023,782 100

自由意志党初选

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候选人

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初选结果

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自由意志党初选结果
党派 候选人 得票数 百分比
自由党 麦克·罗斯 2,898 59.49
自由党 沙农·布雷 1,973 40.51
合计 4,871 100

大选

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候选人

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民调

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民调汇总
汇总来源 调查日期 更新日期 乔许·史坦 (D) 马克·罗宾逊 (R) 未决
[a] 		差距
真清晰政治[2] September 20 - October 8, 2024 October 10, 2024 52.1% 36.3% 11.6% Stein +15.8%
270toWin[3] October 2-10, 2024 October 10, 2024 50.6% 35.0% 14.4% Stein +15.6%
国会山报/DDHQ（英语：DDHQ）[4] through October 8, 2024 October 10, 2024 51.8% 36.4% 11.8% Stein +15.4%
平均 51.5% 35.9% 12.6% Stein +15.6%
民调来源 调查日期 样本[b] 误差 乔许·史坦 (D) 马克·罗宾逊 (R) 其它 未决
Emerson College[A] October 5–8, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 34% 5%[c] 11%
ActiVote September 5 – October 5, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 57% 44% – –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] September 27 – October 2, 2024 753 (LV) ± 3.3% 46% 36% 4%[d] 14%
Quinnipiac University September 25–29, 2024 953 (LV) ± 3.2% 53% 41% 2%[e] 4%
52% 39% 6%[f] 3%
The Washington Post September 25–29, 2024 1,001 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 38% 2%[g] 6%
1,001 (RV) ± 3.5% 53% 38% 2%[h] 7%
High Point University September 20–29, 2024 589 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 34% 3% 11%
814 (RV) ± 3.4% 51% 32% 3% 14%
Emerson College[C] September 27–28, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 52% 33% 4%[i] 12%
RMG Research[D] September 25–27, 2024 780 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 38% 5%[j] 8%
East Carolina University September 23–26, 2024 1,005 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 33% 5%[k] 13%
AtlasIntel September 20–25, 2024 1,173 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 38% 3%[l] 5%
CNN/SSRS September 20–25, 2024 931 (LV) ± 3.9% 53% 36% 11%[m] –
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[E] September 19–25, 2024 411 (LV) – 53% 33% 7%[n] 8%
59% 35% – 6%
Fox News September 20–24, 2024 787 (LV) ± 3.5% 56% 41% 1%[o] 3%
991 (RV) ± 3.0% 56% 40% 2%[p] 3%
Marist College September 19–24, 2024 1,507 (RV) ± 3.5% 54% 42% 1%[q] 3%
1,348 (LV) ± 3.7% 54% 43% 1%[q] 2%
September 19, 2024 有线电视新闻网报道罗宾逊在色情网站论坛自称“黑人纳粹”，本入否认[5]
NYT/Siena College September 17–21, 2024 682 (LV) ± 4.2% 47% 37% – 16%
682 (RV) ± 4.2% 47% 36% – 17%
Meredith College September 18–20, 2024 802 (LV) ± 3.5% 50% 40% 5%[r] 9%
Victory Insights (R) September 16–18, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 42% – 11%
Emerson College[A] September 15–18, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 40% 2%[s] 10%
Morning Consult September 11–18, 2024 1,314 (LV) ± 2.7% 50% 37% 1% 12%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/
Impact Research (D)[F] 		September 11–17, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% – 6%
Cygnal (R)[G] September 15–16, 2024 600 (LV) ± 3.99% 46% 39% 2%[t] 13%
Elon University September 4–13, 2024 800 (RV) ± 3.74% 49% 35% 3% 9%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] September 6–9, 2024 495 (LV) ± 3.8% 42% 33% 3%[u] 23%
Quinnipiac University September 4–8, 2024 940 (LV) ± 3.2% 54% 42% 1%[v] 4%
51% 41% 5%[w] 4%
Morning Consult August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,369 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 37% 2%[x] 11%
SurveyUSA[H] September 4–7, 2024 676 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 37% – 12%
Florida Atlantic University September 5–6, 2024 692 (RV) ± 3.7% 48% 38% – 14%
619 (LV) ± 3.7% 50% 39% – 11%
Emerson College[A] August 25–28, 2024 775 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 41% 3%[y] 10%
East Carolina University August 25–28, 2024 920 (LV) ± 3.0% 47% 41% 1%[z] 11%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] August 25–28, 2024 812 (LV) ± 3.18% 44% 40% 4%[aa] 13%
SoCal Strategies (R)[I] August 26–27, 2024 612 (LV) – 47% 37% – 16%
Fox News August 23–26, 2024 1,026 (RV) ± 3.0% 54% 43% 2%[ab] 1%
ActiVote July 26 – August 26, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46% – –
SurveyUSA/High Point University August 19–21, 2024 1,053 (RV) ± 4.0% 48% 34% – 18%
941 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 36% – 14%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] August 12–15, 2024 601 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 39% 3%[ac] 13%
NYT/Siena College August 9–14, 2024 655 (RV) ± 4.2% 48% 38% – 14%
655 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 39% – 12%
YouGov (D)[J] August 5–9, 2024 802 (RV) ± 3.9% 46% 36% 6%[ad] 13%
Cygnal (R) August 4–5, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 38% 4%[ae] 15%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 31 – August 3, 2024 714 (LV) – 43% 38% 3%[af] 16%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies July 22–24, 2024 586 (LV) – 38% 34% 5%[ag] 23%
July 21, 2024 祖·拜登退出2024年美国总统选举
Public Policy Polling (D)[K] July 19–20, 2024 573 (RV) – 48% 42% – 10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[B] July 16–18, 2024 461 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 36% 4%[ah] 23%
Spry Strategies June 7–11, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 43% – 18%
East Carolina University May 31 – June 3, 2024 1,332 (LV) ± 3.1% 44% 43% – 13%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[L] May 29 – June 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 44% – 14%
Change Research (D)[J] May 13–18, 2024 835 (LV) ± 3.8% 44% 43% – 13%
High Point University May 2–9, 2024 804 (RV) ± 3.2% 34% 39% – 27%
1,002 (A) ± 3.2% 30% 35% – 35%
Cygnal (R)[M] May 4–5, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 39% 5%[ai] 17%
Emerson College April 25–29, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 41% 42% 5%[aj] 12%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[N] April 25–28, 2024 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 37% 6%[ak] 13%
Meredith College April 11–17, 2024 711 (LV) ± 3.5% 45% 36% – 20%
Cygnal (R)[O] April 7–8, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 40% – 18%
Quinnipiac University April 4–8, 2024 1,401 (RV) ± 2.6% 52% 44% 2%[al] 3%
48% 41% 7%[am] 3%
High Point University March 22–30, 2024 829 (RV) ± 3.4% 37% 34% – 29%
Marist College March 11–14, 2024 1,197 (RV) ± 3.6% 49% 47% – 4%
SurveyUSA[H] March 3–9, 2024 598 (LV) ± 4.9% 44% 42% – 14%
Cygnal (R)[O] March 6–7, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 44% – 17%
Change Research (D)[J] February 15–19, 2024 1,622 (LV) ± 2.6% 42% 43% – 15%
East Carolina University February 9–12, 2024 1,207 (RV) ± 3.3% 41% 41% – 14%
Meredith College January 26–31, 2024 760 (RV) ± 3.5% 39% 35% – 17%
East Carolina University November 29 – December 1, 2023 915 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% 44% – 16%
Meredith College November 1–5, 2023 755 (RV) ± 3.5% 38% 36% – 19%
Change Research (D)[J] September 1–5, 2023 914 (LV) ± 3.6% 38% 42% – 20%
Opinion Diagnostics June 5–7, 2023 902 (LV) ± 3.3% 38% 41% – 21%
Cygnal (R)[O] May 12–23, 2023 610 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 42% – 18%
Change Research (D)[J] May 5–8, 2023 802 (LV) ± 3.9% 43% 46% – 11%
Public Policy Polling (D) March 2–3, 2023 704 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 44% – 14%
Differentiator Data (R)[P] January 9–12, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 42% 42% – 16%
Public Policy Polling (D)[J] October 7–8, 2022 606 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 42% – 14%
Meeting Street Insights (R)[Q] May 12–16, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 48% – 10%
假设民调
Josh Stein vs. Dale Folwell
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Josh
Stein (D) 		Dale
Folwell (R) 		Undecided
East Carolina University February 9–12, 2024 1,207 (RV) ± 3.3% 42% 31% 27%
East Carolina University November 29 – December 1, 2023 915 (RV) ± 3.8% 40% 38% 22%
Cygnal (R)[O] May 12–23, 2023 610 (LV) ± 3.96% 39% 34% 27%
Josh Stein vs. Bill Graham
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Josh
Stein (D) 		Bill
Graham (R) 		Undecided
East Carolina University February 9–12, 2024 1,207 (RV) ± 3.3% 40% 35% 25%
East Carolina University November 29 – December 1, 2023 915 (RV) ± 3.8% 42% 39% 19%
Josh Stein vs. Mark Walker
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Josh
Stein (D) 		Mark
Walker (R) 		Undecided
Cygnal (R)[O] May 12–23, 2023 610 (LV) ± 3.96% 39% 37% 24%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
High Point University February 16–23, 2024 753 (LV) ± 3.9% 46% 45% 2%[an] 7%


选举结果

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2024 年北卡罗来纳州州长选举结果选举结果
政党 候选人 票数 % ±
民主党 乔许·史坦
共和党 马克·罗宾逊
自由意志党 麦克·罗斯
绿党 韦恩·特纳
总票数

参见

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注释

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  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  4. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  5. ^ "Wouldn't Vote" and "Refused" with 1%
  6. ^ Ross (L) with 3%, Smith (C), "Wouldn't Vote", and "Refused" with 1%
  7. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  8. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 2%
  9. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  10. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; "Would Not Vote" with 1%
  11. ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Smith (C), "Other" with 1%
  12. ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  13. ^ "Neither" with 8%; "Other" with 3%
  14. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; "Would not vote" with 4%
  15. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  16. ^ "Other" with 1%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  17. ^ 17.0 17.1 "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  18. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G), Smith (C), and "Someone else" with 1%
  19. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  20. ^ Ross (L) with 2%
  21. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; "Other" with 2%
  22. ^ "Refused" with 1%
  23. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; Smith (C) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  24. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  25. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  26. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G), Smith (C), "Write-in candidate" each with <1%
  27. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Others" with 1%
  28. ^ "Other" with 1%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  29. ^ Ross (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  30. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Undecided Third Party" with 4%
  31. ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Turner (G) with 1%
  32. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  33. ^ Ross (L) with 3%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  34. ^ Ross (L) with 1%; Turner (G) with 1%; "Other" with 2%
  35. ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 1%
  36. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  37. ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 2%
  38. ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  39. ^ Ross (L) with 4%; Turner (G) with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
  40. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 2%

参考资料

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  1. ^ 03/05/2024 UNOFFICIAL PRIMARY ELECTION RESULTS - STATEWIDE. North Carolina State Board of Elections. [6 March 2024]. 
  2. ^ 2024 North Carolina Governor - Robinson vs. Stein | RealClearPolling. www.realclearpolling.com. [2024-10-11]. （原始内容存档于2024-11-26）. 
  3. ^ 2024 Polls: North Carolina Governor - 270toWin. 270toWin.com. [2024-10-11]. （原始内容存档于2024-08-31）. 
  4. ^ North Carolina Governor polls - The Hill and DDHQ. The Hill. [2024-10-11]. （原始内容存档于2024-11-07）. 
  5. ^ 引用错误：没有为名为CNN的参考文献提供内容

外部链接

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