2016年冰島議會選舉
外觀
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全體議會全部63席 獲得過半多數需32個席位 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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2016年冰島議會選舉於2016年10月29日舉行,由於較早時發生的2016年冰島反政府示威而令執政聯盟宣布提前舉行大選[2][3]。
選舉制度
[編輯]冰島議會63個議席採用封閉式名單比例代表制在多議席選區選出8至13個席位[4],當中54席採選區選舉的結果並使用漢狄法確定;餘下9席則分配予全國總得票率達到5%選舉門檻的政黨,以使其所得議席總數更接近其全國得票率[4]。
背景
[編輯]2016年4月巴拿馬文件揭露莫薩克·馮賽卡律師行一批機密文件,其中包括總理西格蒙杜爾·戴維·貢勞格松和他的妻子的金融交易,使在野黨要求提前大選[5]並提出不信任動議;同時有大規模抗議要求總理辭職。雖然西格蒙杜爾·戴維曾表示不會辭職,但最終於4月5日下台,然而總理辦公室之後表示他只是暫時離開職務[6][7][5][8][9],西於聚爾·英伊·約翰森同日成為代理總理[9]。
總統奧拉維爾·拉格納·格里姆松其後表示考慮是否舉行新的選舉前執政聯盟的獨立黨及進步黨溝通[10],而在野黨繼續爭取提前大選[8]。4月6日,西於聚爾宣布「我們準備在秋季舉行選舉。」[11];到8月11日,布亞尼·本尼迪克特松與在野黨會面,之候宣布選舉在2016年10月29日舉行[3]。
民意調查
[編輯]研究所 | 日期 | 左翼-綠色運動 (VG) |
聯盟-冰島社會民主黨 (SJÍ) |
海盜黨 (PP) |
明亮未來 (BF) |
進步黨 (FSF) |
獨立黨 (S) |
改革黨(V) | 其他 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/10/28 | 16.5% | 7.4% | 17.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 27.0% | 8.8% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/10/28 | 16.2% | 6.1% | 20.5% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 24.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
Háskóli Íslands(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/10/27 | 16.8% | 5.7% | 21.2% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 22.5% | 11.4% | 5.5% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/10/27 | 16.4% | 5.7% | 18.4% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 27.3% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/10/26 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 19.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 21.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/10/26 | 16.4% | 6.0% | 20.3% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 25.1% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
Háskóli Íslands(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/10/21 | 18.6% | 6.5% | 22.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 21.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/10/18 | 19.2% | 6.5% | 20.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 23.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/10/14 | 14.5% | 9.0% | 19.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 21.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% |
Háskóli Íslands(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/10/14 | 17.7% | 6.9% | 17.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 21.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/10/14 | 14.5% | 7.1% | 18.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 22.6% | 12.4% | 7.6% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/10/12 | 15.1% | 7.3% | 22.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 22.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/10/5 | 12.6% | 8.8% | 19.2% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 25.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/9/30 | 15.6% | 8.5% | 20.6% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 23.7% | 13.4% | 5.4% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/9/28 | 12.9% | 5.9% | 19.9% | 3.6% | 12.6% | 34.6% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/9/26 | 11.5% | 9.3% | 21.6% | 4.9% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 12.3% | 6.7% |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/9/22 | 13.2% | 8.1% | 22.7% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 22.7% | 11.5% | 6.7% |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/9/16 | 13.5% | 8.8% | 23.1% | 2.9% | 9.4% | 25.5% | 12.2% | 4.6% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/9/8 | 12.7% | 7.5% | 29.5% | 2.0% | 10.7% | 28.2% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/9/6 | 16.2% | 8.3% | 25.8% | 2.9% | 9.0% | 26.3% | 10.6% | 0.9% |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/8/30 | 12.4% | 9.1% | 22.4% | 4.5% | 10.6% | 24.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/7/29 | 16.8% | 8.0% | 25.3% | 4.2% | 9.9% | 26.2% | 9.0% | 0.6% |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/7/25 | 12.9% | 8.4% | 26.8% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 24.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/7/7 | 18.0% | 10.9% | 24.3% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 25.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/6/29 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 27.9% | 3.4% | 10.0% | 25.1% | 9.4% | 0.8% |
Háskóli Íslands(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/6/24 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 28.0% | 4.5% | 9.5% | 19.7% | 9.7% | 2.6% |
Háskóli Íslands(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/6/14 | 15.9% | 7.6% | 29.9% | 2.9% | 11.1% | 22.7% | 9.1% | 0.8% |
Háskóli Íslands(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/6/4 | 16.5% | 7.2% | 28.3% | 3.8% | 11.8% | 23.9% | 7.9% | 0.6% |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/6/1 | 16.8% | 7.7% | 27.4% | 4.0% | 10.2% | 28.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
Fréttablaðið / Stöð 2 / Vísir(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/5/27 | 18.1% | 6.1% | 28.7% | 2.5% | 7.3% | 31.5% | 5.8% | |
Háskóli Íslands(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/5/17 | 18.9% | 8.9% | 25.8% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 28.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/5/13 | 15.8% | 7.5% | 31.0% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 26.3% | 2.5% | |
Fréttablaðið(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/5/12 | 19.8% | 7.4% | 30.3% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 31.1% | 1.8% | |
Fréttablaðið(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/5/6 | 14.0% | 8.4% | 31.8% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 29.9% | 3.6% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/5/3 | 14.0% | 9.7% | 28.9% | 3.4% | 11.2% | 27.8% | 5.0% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/4/30 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 26.6% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 27.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/4/13 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 29.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 26.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
Háskóli Íslands(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/4/8 | 14.7% | 9.5% | 30.9% | 4.8% | 12.9% | 23.3% | 3.9% | |
Maskína(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/4/8 | 20.0% | 7.2% | 34.2% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 21.3% | 2.7% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/4/7 | 16.7% | 7.6% | 32.4% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 21.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/4/6 | 12.8% | 9.9% | 36.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 22.5% | 3.6% | |
Fréttablaðið(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/4/5 | 11.2% | 10.2% | 43.0% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 21.6% | 2.3% | |
Háskóli Íslands(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/4/5 | 14.9% | 8.1% | 39.4% | 4.4% | 10.0% | 18.8% | 4.4% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/3/31 | 11.0% | 9.5% | 36.1% | 3.2% | 12.0% | 23.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/3/18 | 9.3% | 9.2% | 38.3% | 4.2% | 12.4% | 22.9% | 3.4% | |
Fréttablaðið(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/3/9 | 8.4% | 8.2% | 38.1% | 1.8% | 12.8% | 27.6% | 3.1% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/3/2 | 7.8% | 7.8% | 37.0% | 4.2% | 12.8% | 23.4% | 7% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/3/2 | 10.8% | 9.7% | 35.9% | 3.3% | 11.0% | 23.7% | 5.6% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/2/2 | 10.8% | 9.2% | 35.3% | 3.6% | 12.0% | 24.4% | 4.7% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/2/2 | 11.0% | 9.4% | 35.6% | 4.4% | 12.2% | 21.1% | 5.9% | |
Fréttablaðið(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/1/30 | 9.6% | 9.9% | 41.8% | 1.6% | 10.2% | 23.2% | 3.7% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2016/1/2 | 10.2% | 10.4% | 33.1% | 4.2% | 12.0% | 25.2% | 4.9% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/12/18 | 11.4% | 12.9% | 34.9% | 5.3% | 11.5% | 20.6% | 3.4% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/12/4 | 11.4% | 10.1% | 32.9% | 3.9% | 12.0% | 24.8% | 4.9% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/11/16 | 9.9% | 10.5% | 35.3% | 4.6% | 10.8% | 23.7% | 5.2% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/11/4 | 11.1% | 10.6% | 35.5% | 4.6% | 9.6% | 24.6% | 4.4% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/10/21 | 11.8% | 11.3% | 34.2% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 21.7% | 4.1% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/10/2 | 10.6% | 10.1% | 34.6% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 24.4% | 4.6% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/9/3 | 9.6% | 10.6% | 33.0% | 5.8% | 11.4% | 25.3% | 4.3% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/9/1 | 11.8% | 9.3% | 35.9% | 4.4% | 11.1% | 21.7% | 5.8% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/8/7 | 8.9% | 12.2% | 32.3% | 5.0% | 12.4% | 24.0% | 5.2% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/8/4 | 10.2% | 9.6% | 35.0% | 4.4% | 12.2% | 23.1% | 5.5% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/6/30 | 12.0% | 9.3% | 33.2% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 23.8% | 5.5% | |
Rúv(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/6/29 | 10.3% | 11.4% | 32.0% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 24.5% | 4.1% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/6/25 | 10.5% | 11.6% | 32.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 23.3% | 5.4% | |
FBL(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/6/19 | 7.3% | 11.1% | 37.5% | 3.3% | 8.5% | 29.5% | 2.8% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/6/16 | 11.1% | 11.8% | 34.5% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 21.2% | 3.5% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/6/1 | 9.8% | 12.4% | 34.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 23.0% | 4.3% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/5/26 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 32.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 23.1% | 5.6% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/5/4 | 10.8% | 10.7% | 32.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 21.9% | 5.5% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/4/30 | 10.6% | 14.1% | 30.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 22.9% | 4.4% | |
Gallup(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/3/30 | 10.1% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 25.0% | 5.7% | |
Kjarninn(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/3/26 | 10.2% | 16.1% | 23.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 24.8% | 4.2% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/3/21 | 9.0% | 16.3% | 29.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 23.4% | 1.7% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/3/18 | 10.8% | 15.5% | 23.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 23.4% | 5.1% | |
Fréttablaðið (頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/3/11 | 10.4% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 28.0% | 4.3% | |
Rúv (頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/3/2 | 11.2% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 26.1% | 6.1% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2015/2/19 | 12.9% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 25.5% | 6.2% | |
Gallup | 2015/2/3 | 11.0% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 27.0% | 6.0% | |
MMR | 2015/1/14 | 11.9% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 9.4% | 27.3% | 5.8% | |
Mbl(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/12/16 | 11.6% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 29.0% | 4.7% | |
Fréttablaðið(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/11/17 | 13.1% | 19.2% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 32.9% | ||
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/11/4 | 10.7% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 12.3% | 23.6% | 7.4% | |
Gallup | 2014/10/3 | 13.0% | 19.0% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 27.0% | ||
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/9/8 | 10.4% | 16.9% | 9.2% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 28.2% | 6.2% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/8/28 | 9.6% | 20.3% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 26.6% | 6.0% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/7/31 | 11.6% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 19.2% | 11.8% | 24.1% | 6.7% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/6/24 | 11.4% | 16.5% | 8.3% | 21.8% | 11.4% | 25.0% | 5.6% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/5/13 | 11.6% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 22.1% | 8.6% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/5/2 | 11.7% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 25.1% | 7.2% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/4/14 | 11.5% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 23.9% | 7.0% | |
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/3/3 | 10.4% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 29.0% | 5.6% | |
RÚV(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/2/27 | 13.0% | 16.8% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 23.7% | 5.6% | |
Capacent(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/2/1 | 12.7% | 14.9% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 26.9% | ||
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2014/1/22 | 11.0% | 17.1% | 6.9% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 26.3% | 5.6% | |
Capacent(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2013/12/24 | 13.3% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 25.3% | ||
MMR(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) | 2013/11/30 | 12.6% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 26.8% | ||
2013結果 | 2013/4/28 | 10.87% | 12.85% | 5.10% | 8.25% | 24.43% | 26.70% | ||
研究所 | 日期 | 左翼-綠色運動 (VG) |
聯盟-冰島社會民主黨 (SJÍ) |
海盜黨 (PP) |
光明未來 (BF) |
進步黨 (FSF) |
獨立黨 (S) |
改革黨 (V) |
其他 |
選舉結果
[編輯]政黨 | 票數 | % | 議席 | +/– | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
獨立黨 | 54,990 | 29.00 | 21 | +2 | |
左翼-綠色運動 | 30,166 | 15.91 | 10 | +3 | |
海盜黨 | 27,449 | 14.48 | 10 | +7 | |
進步黨 | 21,791 | 11.49 | 8 | –11 | |
改革黨 | 19,870 | 10.48 | 7 | 新 | |
光明未來 | 13,578 | 7.16 | 4 | –2 | |
聯盟-冰島社會民主黨 | 10,893 | 5.74 | 3 | –6 | |
人民黨 | 6,707 | 3.54 | 0 | 新 | |
黎明 | 3,275 | 1.73 | 0 | 0 | |
冰島人民陣線 | 575 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | |
冰島民族陣線 | 303 | 0.16 | 0 | 新 | |
人文主義黨 | 33 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | |
廢票/白票 | 5,574 | – | – | – | |
總計 | 195,204 | 100 | 63 | 0 | |
註冊選民/投票率 | 246,515 | 79.19 | – | – | |
來源:Iceland Monitor(頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) |
備註
[編輯]參考資料
[編輯]- ^ Iceland’s ‘Pirate Party’ Is Now The Biggest Political Party MintPress News, 19 May 2016
- ^ Kosningar í haust - Lilja verður ráðherra (頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) RÚV, 6 April 2016
- ^ 3.0 3.1 Boða til kosninga 29. október. MBL. 11 August 2016 [11 August 2016]. (原始內容存檔於2016-08-14) (冰島語).
- ^ 4.0 4.1 Electoral system (頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) IPU
- ^ 5.0 5.1 Iceland’s PM faces calls for snap election after offshore revelations (頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) The Guardian, 3 April 2016
- ^ PM Sigmundur Davíð Gunnlaugsson Wavers On Resignation. The Reykjavik Grapevine. [2016-08-24]. (原始內容存檔於2016-04-06).
- ^ Iceland PM calls to dissolve parliament after tax scandal. Reuters UK. [2016-04-05]. (原始內容存檔於2016-04-05) (英國英語).
- ^ 8.0 8.1 Panama Papers: Iceland PM Sigmundur Gunnlaugsson steps down (頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) BBC News, 6 April 2012
- ^ 9.0 9.1 Henley, Jon. Iceland PM steps aside after protests over Panama Papers revelations. The Guardian. 5 April 2016 [6 April 2016]. (原始內容存檔於2016-08-14).
- ^ Iceland swears in new PM amid Panama Papers fallout (頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) CNN, 7 April 2016
- ^ Panama papers: Iceland names PM replacement (頁面存檔備份,存於網際網路檔案館) BBC News, 7 April 2016